Million dollar question: buy or sell

By Justin Hunter

It really is a million dollar question when you are determining whether the market is prime for buyers or sellers because even if you are not buying or selling a million dollar home, your actions will eventually affect $1 million of future value or investments.

While many people determine their real estate actions based upon the national consensus of whether it is a buyer’s market, it may be more beneficial to determine your local area’s market first.

It is not a secret that the real estate industry is kind of like a giant game of roulette where you never know if the market will be red (hot) or black (cold), you just want it to result in green.

Realty Times columnist, M. Anthony Carr tries to take a little guesswork out of the gambling market by providing helpful tips for a potential buyer or seller in his October 13, 2006 article, “How to Tell Where Your Market's Headed.”

Carr begins his article by stating if everyone stays clam and does a little research, his or her real estate decision should be a successful one.

“Many readers have accused me of being too optimistic on the real estate market. What they see as optimistic is actually an attitude steeped in the belief that you can make money in real estate in any market, you just have to know how to operate when the market's moving up, leveling off, or cooling down.”

Not to treat you like a child but here are some basics: when prices are up -- sell, when prices drop -- buy.

Basically, all you have to do is determine whether it is a buyer’s market (it’s easier this way), if not then it is a seller’s.

“So last week when I read some reports from federal agencies that appreciation had slowed, I didn't panic with many of the market prognosticators, I just shifted my business plan. Real estate investors and property owners can make money in any market, you just have to be wise on the market and be flexible on how much profit you want to make.” Many consumers are confused as to whether they should invest in property when prices are falling. If you approach it from a strictly business prospective and identify the three key components, you will be fine no matter what you decide.

The first thing you must determine is the local economy where you live or are prospectively searching to live.

“What's happening? Are jobs growing? Are businesses opening? Are current businesses investing in themselves? What are the economists saying in your area? Research this data by a simple Google or Yahoo search of "economic report." Through that search, the astute investor will find out where economists are predicting growth in suburban business centers and where the jobs are coming and going.”

Next, you should examine the local real estate market. Are prices rising, falling or remaining neutral? Begin with examining the prices on a state-wide level, then narrow it down to the county and finally dissect the zip code and neighborhood. The state-wide price increase or decrease may indicate what the neighborhood or city has the potential of doing.

For example, if the state indicates that prices are falling fast but the prospective neighborhood ahs not yet changed, you may want to wait a while to buy until the neighborhood prices fall as well. It would be very unlikely for the neighborhood prices to randomly rise and break state-wide pattern.

The last thing you should investigate is the financial market.
“This market is actually the only real estate component that is usually measured on a national basis. It's all about the cost of money and most interest rates are within a basis point or two from each other nationwide. Currently, they are still historically low (under 7 percent) which can be had for 1 or less points.”

These three components will provide you with the necessary knowledge and confidence to make a real estate sale or purchase that will benefit your financial future.

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